Texas Rangers at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick – August 11th
I didn’t wager on the New York Mets yesterdayand I am not going to betting on the Mets today, but I wanted to take a couple of moments to recognize exactly what this group is doing at this time. After the Mets created the blockbuster move to get starting pitcher Marcus Stroman in the Toronto Blue Jays before the July 31st trade deadline, the first backlash was fierce. Even the pundits and fans have been scratching their heads, and on newspaper, the move simply didn’t make a lot of sense.
The Mets were seemingly from playoff contention and have been rumored to be shopping some of the best men including Eddie Diaz and Noah Syndergaard. Instead, they kept all their best men and earned Stroman in from Toronto, in a desperate bid to get back into the playoff picture. I personally saw it as one of the more vexing motions of the past decade and laughed and thought to myself, typical Mets movement, entirely assuming it would blow up in their face just like so many transactions have previously.
And then something changed to the Mets. They caught fire. And all of the sudden this team needs to be feared in the National League. The Mets have reeled off fifteen wins in their last sixteen games and are back on the right side of .500 and are only a half of a match of this second NL wild card. And it’s not merely that they are winning, it is the way they’re winning. It’s a different hero every night for all these wonder Mets. It seems that each and every night they get into a situation where they are going to lose and discover a means to point a triumphant comeback.
The amount on New York now is too large to profitably back them since they’re laying -200 with ace Jacob deGrom around the mound. But make certain that to keep your eye on this group. Baseball is a funny sport, and so much of it’s based around endings. For those who have it, things just appear to break up your own way. Whenever you don’t, there are times when you can not buy a win. At the moment, the Mets certainly have it. For today’s selection, we will head to Milwaukee where the Brewers are looking to sweep against up the Texas Rangers.
The Texas Rangers have been hoping to prevent getting trapped. The Rangers have dropped four straight games, two of these into the Brewers within this show, along with their season is fast winding to a closefriend. While Texas did not hold the fire sale that many expected at the trade deadline, they also did not go out and acquire much talent, along with the Rangers are currently nine games back of the 2nd wild card at the American League.
For the Brewers, they did a terrific job of incorporating several competent arms for their team as they added men like Drew Pomeranz, Jake Faria, Ray Black, and tonight’s rookie Jordan Lyles. And the motions are beginning to actually give this squad a boost as they have won five consecutive games and are currently only a game and a half of the Chicago Cubs for first place in the NL Central Division race.
Starting today for the Brewers is Jordan Lyles (7-7 4.97 ERA), and for the Rangers, it’s Mike Minor (10-6 3.06 ERA). The game complete over-under is put at nine runs. The Brewers are -126 home favorites. First pitch is scheduled for 11:10 AM PST from Miller Park in Milwaukee.
On occasion a trade simply doesn’t seem to make a good deal of sense when it’s initially made. This was the situation with all the Mets and Marcus Stroman, which was also true once the Brewers caused beginning pitcher Jordan Lyles. Lyles was fighting through a poor year before being moved. In his past four starts before getting traded, Lyles had gotten blasted for twenty five runs in only seventeen innings worked. I really don’t know off hand what ERA that adds around, but it is really large. And you need to rememberthis man was pitching for the Pittsburgh Pirates, at the same branch as the Brewers.
It was hard to expect the man to be much better in Milwaukee because he was in Pittsburgh. But he has figured out things so far in Milwaukee! In his two begins with his new team, he has pitched a combined ten innings and has allowed only two earned runsand also the Brewers won both games. Occasionally a change of scenery by a last-place team from contention to some group right in the combination of a pennant race is everything it takes to find a man to flip things around.
Mike Minor is enduring through the specific opposite of what Jordan Lyles is moving through in that many people expected him to get traded to a contender, and he ended up staying in Texas. Minor was a favorite trade target for several contending groups, but a deal couldn’t be made, and here he is now finishing out his season with a Rangers team heading .
Plus it seemed like the stress of possibly getting traded was wearing on Minor because he had been bad in July. Going into July, Minor was 8-4 with a 2.40 ERA and was chosen to the Al All-Star team. But throughout the month leading up to the trade deadline, then he had been just 1-2 having a 6.59 ERA in five starts, and the Rangers went 1-4 in those five games. Those struggles may have been kept Minor in Texas because his value plummeted at the incorrect moment. Minor’s very first post-trade deadline begin proved to be a great one because he pitched seven shutout innings against the Cleveland Indians.
This is an interesting game. A month before, I would have loved backing Minor getting dog money. But he’s really struggled since then, and I am not confident he can go in and closed down a good hitting team like the Brewers. When you look at this Texas lineup, they just are not the same with no Joey Gallo about the field.
With Gallo sidelined with injury, this group is 28th in the majors in runs scored from the month of August. They’re scoring just more than three runs on a game, and they’re hitting an abysmal .206 for a team. While I am not all that confident that Lyles could keep his great results, I also know that the Brewers will not be leaving him at the game all that long anyway as they like to turn things over to their own bullpen in any sign of distress.
I think Minor gets roughed up a while, and also the Brewers with a questionnaire of Lyles and their bullpen, find a way to make the most of this slumping Rangers lineup and fill out the sweep. I talked above about momentum, and at this time, the Brewers have it, and the Rangers do not. And I am going to make the most of these trends and fire on the Brewers today. Give me the Milwaukee Brewers today at home favorites in match three from Miller Park in -126!
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